Thanks to Survivor genius Martin Homles, AKA Redmond, the man behind insidesurvivor.com, we have a solid idea at the new tribal shake up for tonights tribal switch.

According to Redmond, this is the new tribe shake-up:

Angkor Tribe – Andrew, Jeff, Abi, Peih-Gee, Tasha, Woo

Bayon Tribe – Jeremy, Kelly Wiglesworth, Spencer, Kimmi, Stephen, Monica

Ta Keo – Ciera, Joe, Kass, Keith, Kelly Wentworth, Terry

If Redmond is right, which he always is, here is what each of the castaways needs to do in order to not have their torches snuffed tonight.

 

In order of most likely to be voted off tonight.

18. Stephen

He was on the outs of his original tribe, and from what we saw, had no solid alliances. If Ta Keo loses immunity tonight, Stephen’s best bet would be to approach the ladies (Kimmi, Kelly, and Monica) and form an solid 4 alliance to get rid of the manly men, Jeremy and Spencer. And yes, in comparison to Stephen, even Spencer is considered a “manly” man.

17. Andrew

Unfortunately, things may be looking a bit bleak for my man Andrew. Him and Tasha are the only two from their former tribe that are in a minority. If Savage has any shot at surviving this week (if Angkor goes to tribal) he will have to “woo” over Woo and Peih-Gee and target Abi-Maria. Neither of them are particularly close with her, and both would probably rather continue to live in a tribe with Savage than Abi.

16. Woo

At first glance, it looks like Woo is in a good position. He is in a 6 person tribe with 3 former members of his first tribe. However, when those 3 “trusted” people are Abi, Peih-Gee, and Varner, you should consider yourself alone. Woo needs to jump on board with his former Cagayan girl, Tash

a, join Savage, and convince Peih-Gee or Abi to flip on each other.

15. Monica

If Bayon loses immunity, there is a solid chance it is because Monica was rendered useless. Monica could be seen as more of a liability than “stronger” (!) teammates Stephen and Kimmi. Monica needs to bond with Wiglesworth and flirt with Spencer immediately. Convince Kimmi to jump off the sinking ship that was Bayon, and vote out threat physical threat Jeremy, or mental threat Stephen.

14. Terry

Chaos Kass herself said the old Bayon is a “love tribe.” If the new Ta-Keo loses immunity Terry or Kelley will likely be screwed. The only thing that makes Terry likely to go over Kelley is the fact that she has an idol and if they go to tribal, she will use it. The “original Bayon” 4 will split the votes. Kelley will use her idol, and on the revote, Terry is sent packing. What can Terry do to avoid this and save himself? Win immunity. If Ta-Keo loses, Terry is going to be the one that takes the fall.

 

13. Peih-Gee

Peih-Gee needs to dump Abi and Varner. There is NO WAY and alliance between Abi and Peih-Gee will ever make it to the en

d game. From what we have seen so far, Varner is quick smitten with Abi, and will protect her at all costs. Peih-Gee needs to take Woo and join Tasha and Savage. Dump Abi, and Varner will come crawling back to her.

12. Joe

Like Terry, there is not much Joe can do besides win immunity. Sure, he will have his Bayon foursome with him, but if Wentworth plays her idol, and they don’t split the votes between her and Terry, Joe will likely be the victim. Joe’s priorities… 1) win immunity. 2) split the votes.

11. Spencer

Due to Spencer’s re-birth during the last tribal council, I imagine that he will be kissing everyone’s butt and doing everything he can to bond with his new tribe. Unfortunately, he is going to be with ultra likable Wiglesworth. He will have to be Jeremy’s new bro and convince him that Fishbach is a major threat if he makes jury. And when all else fails.. flirt with Monica. Her former tribe would be more angry with her for flirting with the “enemy” than they would be at him, and she would be voted off.

10. Abi-Maria

Abi just needs to do one thing. Not be herself. If she can lay low, and not piss off Peih-Gee, she should be sitting pretty. That is an enormous IF. Abi, just be nice to Peih-Gee for about 12 days, and you will be carried to the end. Again.

9. Kelly Wiglesworth

If Wiglesworth can form the relationships that she did when she merged in season 1, she will be just fine. She became close with Colleen, Greg, Gervase, and Jenna, and that was all she had to do. There are plenty of weak links on the new Bayon and many other targets. If she is just a little more snakelike this season, she will stick around until at least the merge.

8. Tasha

All she has to do is not be seen trying to form a alliance, or “rekindle” a possible Cagayan alliance with Woo. The tribe will vote out Savage (unfortunately) over her, and if Tasha and Savage can somehow swing the votes, Abi and Peih-Gee are always easy targets. As long as she can avoid the “Cagayan 4” threat, she will be just fine.

7-5. Ciera, Kass, Keith – Nothing. Do not do anything. Be nice to Joe, and continue to make him feel like Captain America. And do not do anything else.

4. Kimmi

Do not talk about meat, and DEFINITELY do not ask anyone what is up their butt.

3-2. Jeremy, Varner – Do not physically assault anyone. And do not fall into a fire. That is all you need to do fellas.

1. Kelley Wentworth
   

   (photo credit: cbs.com)

   Do not not use your idol if you go to tribal. And do not invite your dad to any family visit. Ever.