After back-to-back losses by the Brawn tribe, they are down two tribe members to the Beauty and Brains tribe. Will their pathetic challenge performance continue, or will a smart or beautiful person take the walk of shame tonight? My predictions on who will be voted out in episode 3 of Survivor: Kaoh Rong below.

Ranked in order of LEAST likely to MOST likely to be voted out in 16th place.

16. Michelle (Beauty)

 

Michelle is sitting pretty right now (pun shamelessly intended.) She is in the best position in her tribe, as she is strong, good at challenges, and  very tight with the ladies on her tribe. If Beauty loses, I expect Michele to not be on anyone’s radar. In addition, from this week’s previews, it is clear that Michele and Anna will be sitting out of the challenge for the Beauty tribe. So, in the event that they do lose the Immunity Challenge, no blame will be on either of their beautiful shoulders.

15. Anna (Beauty)

 

Like Michele, Anna is in a great spot on her tribe. If Beauty loses immunity, the ladies will certainly stick together, and it is very unlikely that the 3 Beauty men will have the brains to concoct a plan to save them all. Plus, like I said about Michele, Anna sits out in this week’s challenge, and will be free from any challenge blame should they have to attend Tribal Council.

14. Neal (Brains)

 

It is looking like Neal will be in the swing vote position on the Brains tribe for as long as these tribes stay in tact. The previews this week show Peter and Elisabeth scheming to get out the old folk, and Debbie telling the camera that “it is not going to happen.” If Brains loses, I expect a showdown between Peter/Elisabeth and Debbie/Joe with Neal and Aubry having to choose a side.

13. Julia (Beauty)

 

Although she does compete in this week’s challenge, a massive blunder that causes Beauty to lose immunity is just about the only thing that could send Julia packing tonight. She has the numbers on the tribe with Michele and Anna. Also, Tai is on her tribe, so pretty much all the 5 other Beauty’s are safe until a tribal switch as long as Tai is still around.

12. Aubry (Brains)

 

After a rough first few days, Aubry may be in one of the best spots on the Brains tribe if she can stay mentally sound. As long as she does not have any more meltdowns, the target should stay on the older tribe members (Debbie and Joseph,) and the two that are gunning for them (Peter and Elisabeth.) If Aubry and Neal work together, they can choose which two they want to form a solid 4 way alliance with, and take full control of the Brains tribe.

11. Caleb (Brawn)

 

Let’s face it, the girls on the Beauty tribe are in control. While they may be getting a bit concerned with how close Caleb and Tai are becoming, Caleb has nothing to worry about because Tai would be their first target. Should Tai find an idol, and the girls catch wind of it, it will be

a mad dash to decide who to vote out between Caleb and Nick if the tribe has to trek their pretty little asses to Tribal. Caleb seems to be a bit more likable, and more of an asset around camp than Nick, so I will give Caleb the edge, and say that he is the safest guy on the Beauty tribe.

10. Kyle/Jason (Brawn)

 

While the Brawn tribe is currently a complete mess, Kyle or Jason, whatever you want to call him, is in the power position. Him and Scot are clearly very close, and the ladies would be stupid to force a tie. They will go after each other and beg the men to keep them around for a few more days.
If, on the slim chance, Alecia and Cydney decide to team up and vote out a guy, Scot is the one that voted out Alecia last week, so he will likely be her target.
The only way Kyle goes is if Brawn loses, and one of the ladies finds (and uses) the idol, and writes down his name.

9. Nick (Beauty)

 

Nick has been pretty much invisible in the first two episodes. Partly because the Beauty tribe keeps winning challenges, party because of the big personalities on his tribe, and partly because he is just boring.
Pre Season I ranked Nick as the #1 least likely to win the game, and I haven’t swayed too far from that prediction. The only way Nick will be in danger tonight though, is if the Beauty’s lose immunity, and Tai finds an idol. Nick, Caleb, and Tai are nowhere near smart enough, or good enough at the game, to combat the solid Beauty girl’s alliance.

8. Peter (Brains)

 

Peter may be shooting himself in the foot this week, as he is seen trying to make some moves to vote out Debbie and Joe. Literally, the ONLY thing Peter had to do is fly under the radar and not get his tribemate’s a reason to vote him out. There are so many other targets at the Brains tribe that he could have sailed through to the merge without his name being uttered.
Instead, now Neal and Aubry will likely decide if they want to go with Peter/Aubry or with Debbie/Joe. If they go with Debbie/Joe, Peter’s game is all but finished. If not this week, than next week.
Additionally, last week we were shown footage of Peter saying that he wanted to keep Debbie around as long as possible. It may be that he keeps her just long enough to vote him out.
My prediction: If Debbie does not vote Peter out tonight, she will jump ship when the merge comes, and vote him out then.
7. Debbie (Brains)

 

Debbie has been quite a character so far this season. Without having a chance to really see the Brains tribe “play the game” yet, tonight may be the time for Debbie to shine, or for her to end her own game.
I expect Debbie to go full

force after Elisabeth/Peter tonight, and when the dust settles, if Debbie is still standing, she could make it a very long way in this game.

If the Brains go to Tribal tonight, Debbie has more to lose than anyone else, because if she can survive the first Tribal Council, she will likely make it all the to the finals, as there will be much bigger fish to fry than Debbie once the tribes switch/merge.

My advice for Debbie: Do everything you can to sway Neal and Aubry to your side. If that fails, throw Joe under the bus as hard as you possibly can.

6. Scot (Brawn)

 

If the Brawn tribe loses again, Scot could be in some hot water, as he was the only one that voted out Alecia last week (besides Jenny.)
While it is unlikely that Alecia, Cydney, and Kyle will team up without Scot, the fact that he voted for Alecia could be enough drive for Alecia to find the idol, and make sure she uses it to vote him out.

5. Cydney (Brawn)

 

We have already determined that the Brawn tribe is a complete disaster. And Cydney is a complete unknown within the tribe. Nobody (the viewer at least) knows where she stands, and she could very well be on the outskirts, as she did vote against the tribe the first episode when she voted out Alecia over Darnell.
If the Brawn lose again, the boys may decide to ditch Cydney while they still can, and Alecia would be more than happy to repay the favor of writing her name down.

4. Joe (Brains)

 

Joe was sitting real nice until his argument with Elisabeth. It put an unnecessary target on his back, and now Elisabeth (and Peter) will have an additional reason to vote him out, besides him being “old.”
Hopefully he can get the support of Aubry and Neal, and survive until the merge or a switch. Like Debbie, if he can make it to the merge, he will likely cruise to the end of the game. Big week coming up for Joe and Debbie.

3. Tai (Beauty)

 

If the Beauty tribe loses, the only thing that will save Tai is a ladder to climb to the top of that tree to get his hidden idol. But, if the producers like Tai that much, a ladder may just magically wash up on to the Beauty tribe while the young beauties are all suntanning, far away from Tai.

A. I do not think the Beauty tribe will lose until the switch.
B. I do not think the producers have got their fill of Tai yet.

According to the previews, Tai will pull a Kimmi Kappenberg, and will have a bit of a meltdown about the killing of a chicken. This will lead us to believe he will be voted out tonight. But, a come from behind victory, will enable Tai to live to see another day.

2. Alecia (Brawn)

 

Alecia may be my favorite of all the castaways, but she will be at the bottom of the rankings until at least a merge.
If the Brawn tribe loses again, I think Scot, Kyle, and Cydney will decide that Alecia has had enough chances, and pin the loss on her, unanimously voting her out. I pray to the Survivor gods, that she finds, and uses, an idol, for the biggest #blindside of the season so far.

1. Elisabeth (Brains)

 

Elisabeth’s childish outburst last week will likely secure her departure the first time Brains lose immunity. I think Aubry gets along better with Joe and Debbie, and Neal will realize that it would be better for him to go with the numbers rather than risk a tie going with Elisabeth and Peter. The tribe will keep Peter over Elisabeth due to his strength, and Elisabeth will pay the ultimate price for being too thirsty and hungry to control her emotions last week. The case of the #Hangry’s strikes again.