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Survivor: Kaoh Rong, Episode 3. Who Will Survive?

After back-to-back losses by the Brawn tribe, they are down two tribe members to the Beauty and Brains tribe. Will their pathetic challenge performance continue, or will a smart or beautiful person take the walk of shame tonight? My predictions on who will be voted out in episode 3 of Survivor: Kaoh Rong below.

Ranked in order of LEAST likely to MOST likely to be voted out in 16th place.

16. Michelle (Beauty)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

Michelle is sitting pretty right now (pun shamelessly intended.) She is in the best position in her tribe, as she is strong, good at challenges, and  very tight with the ladies on her tribe. If Beauty loses, I expect Michele to not be on anyone’s radar. In addition, from this week’s previews, it is clear that Michele and Anna will be sitting out of the challenge for the Beauty tribe. So, in the event that they do lose the Immunity Challenge, no blame will be on either of their beautiful shoulders.

15. Anna (Beauty)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

Like Michele, Anna is in a great spot on her tribe. If Beauty loses immunity, the ladies will certainly stick together, and it is very unlikely that the 3 Beauty men will have the brains to concoct a plan to save them all. Plus, like I said about Michele, Anna sits out in this week’s challenge, and will be free from any challenge blame should they have to attend Tribal Council.

14. Neal (Brains)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

It is looking like Neal will be in the swing vote position on the Brains tribe for as long as these tribes stay in tact. The previews this week show Peter and Elisabeth scheming to get out the old folk, and Debbie telling the camera that “it is not going to happen.” If Brains loses, I expect a showdown between Peter/Elisabeth and Debbie/Joe with Neal and Aubry having to choose a side.

13. Julia (Beauty)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

Although she does compete in this week’s challenge, a massive blunder that causes Beauty to lose immunity is just about the only thing that could send Julia packing tonight. She has the numbers on the tribe with Michele and Anna. Also, Tai is on her tribe, so pretty much all the 5 other Beauty’s are safe until a tribal switch as long as Tai is still around.

12. Aubry (Brains)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

After a rough first few days, Aubry may be in one of the best spots on the Brains tribe if she can stay mentally sound. As long as she does not have any more meltdowns, the target should stay on the older tribe members (Debbie and Joseph,) and the two that are gunning for them (Peter and Elisabeth.) If Aubry and Neal work together, they can choose which two they want to form a solid 4 way alliance with, and take full control of the Brains tribe.

11. Caleb (Brawn)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

Let’s face it, the girls on the Beauty tribe are in control. While they may be getting a bit concerned with how close Caleb and Tai are becoming, Caleb has nothing to worry about because Tai would be their first target. Should Tai find an idol, and the girls catch wind of it, it will be a mad dash to decide who to vote out between Caleb and Nick if the tribe has to trek their pretty little asses to Tribal. Caleb seems to be a bit more likable, and more of an asset around camp than Nick, so I will give Caleb the edge, and say that he is the safest guy on the Beauty tribe.

10. Kyle/Jason (Brawn)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

While the Brawn tribe is currently a complete mess, Kyle or Jason, whatever you want to call him, is in the power position. Him and Scot are clearly very close, and the ladies would be stupid to force a tie. They will go after each other and beg the men to keep them around for a few more days.
If, on the slim chance, Alecia and Cydney decide to team up and vote out a guy, Scot is the one that voted out Alecia last week, so he will likely be her target.
The only way Kyle goes is if Brawn loses, and one of the ladies finds (and uses) the idol, and writes down his name.

9. Nick (Beauty)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

Nick has been pretty much invisible in the first two episodes. Partly because the Beauty tribe keeps winning challenges, party because of the big personalities on his tribe, and partly because he is just boring.
Pre Season I ranked Nick as the #1 least likely to win the game, and I haven’t swayed too far from that prediction. The only way Nick will be in danger tonight though, is if the Beauty’s lose immunity, and Tai finds an idol. Nick, Caleb, and Tai are nowhere near smart enough, or good enough at the game, to combat the solid Beauty girl’s alliance.

8. Peter (Brains)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

Peter may be shooting himself in the foot this week, as he is seen trying to make some moves to vote out Debbie and Joe. Literally, the ONLY thing Peter had to do is fly under the radar and not get his tribemate’s a reason to vote him out. There are so many other targets at the Brains tribe that he could have sailed through to the merge without his name being uttered.
Instead, now Neal and Aubry will likely decide if they want to go with Peter/Aubry or with Debbie/Joe. If they go with Debbie/Joe, Peter’s game is all but finished. If not this week, than next week.
Additionally, last week we were shown footage of Peter saying that he wanted to keep Debbie around as long as possible. It may be that he keeps her just long enough to vote him out.
My prediction: If Debbie does not vote Peter out tonight, she will jump ship when the merge comes, and vote him out then.
7. Debbie (Brains)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

Debbie has been quite a character so far this season. Without having a chance to really see the Brains tribe “play the game” yet, tonight may be the time for Debbie to shine, or for her to end her own game.
I expect Debbie to go full force after Elisabeth/Peter tonight, and when the dust settles, if Debbie is still standing, she could make it a very long way in this game.

If the Brains go to Tribal tonight, Debbie has more to lose than anyone else, because if she can survive the first Tribal Council, she will likely make it all the to the finals, as there will be much bigger fish to fry than Debbie once the tribes switch/merge.

My advice for Debbie: Do everything you can to sway Neal and Aubry to your side. If that fails, throw Joe under the bus as hard as you possibly can.

6. Scot (Brawn)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

If the Brawn tribe loses again, Scot could be in some hot water, as he was the only one that voted out Alecia last week (besides Jenny.)
While it is unlikely that Alecia, Cydney, and Kyle will team up without Scot, the fact that he voted for Alecia could be enough drive for Alecia to find the idol, and make sure she uses it to vote him out.

5. Cydney (Brawn)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

We have already determined that the Brawn tribe is a complete disaster. And Cydney is a complete unknown within the tribe. Nobody (the viewer at least) knows where she stands, and she could very well be on the outskirts, as she did vote against the tribe the first episode when she voted out Alecia over Darnell.
If the Brawn lose again, the boys may decide to ditch Cydney while they still can, and Alecia would be more than happy to repay the favor of writing her name down.

4. Joe (Brains)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

Joe was sitting real nice until his argument with Elisabeth. It put an unnecessary target on his back, and now Elisabeth (and Peter) will have an additional reason to vote him out, besides him being “old.”
Hopefully he can get the support of Aubry and Neal, and survive until the merge or a switch. Like Debbie, if he can make it to the merge, he will likely cruise to the end of the game. Big week coming up for Joe and Debbie.

3. Tai (Beauty)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

If the Beauty tribe loses, the only thing that will save Tai is a ladder to climb to the top of that tree to get his hidden idol. But, if the producers like Tai that much, a ladder may just magically wash up on to the Beauty tribe while the young beauties are all suntanning, far away from Tai.

A. I do not think the Beauty tribe will lose until the switch.
B. I do not think the producers have got their fill of Tai yet.

According to the previews, Tai will pull a Kimmi Kappenberg, and will have a bit of a meltdown about the killing of a chicken. This will lead us to believe he will be voted out tonight. But, a come from behind victory, will enable Tai to live to see another day.

2. Alecia (Brawn)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

Alecia may be my favorite of all the castaways, but she will be at the bottom of the rankings u

ntil at least a merge.
If the Brawn tribe loses again, I think Scot, Kyle, and Cydney will decide that Alecia has had enough chances, and pin the loss on her, unanimously voting her out. I pray to the Survivor gods, that she finds, and uses, an idol, for the biggest #blindside of the season so far.

1. Elisabeth (Brains)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

 

Elisabeth’s childish outburst last week will likely secure her departure the first time Brains lose immunity. I think Aubry gets along better with Joe and Debbie, and Neal will realize that it would be better for him to go with the numbers rather than risk a tie going with Elisabeth and Peter. The tribe will keep Peter over Elisabeth due to his strength, and Elisabeth will pay the ultimate price for being too thirsty and hungry to control her emotions last week. The case of the #Hangry’s strikes again.

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Ranking the 14 New Big Brother Canada Houseguests

The best thing to happen to Canada since Tim Hortons is back, and this time Big Brother Canada is going international. For its fourth season, Big Brother has decided to open his doors to former contestants from Big Brother USA, Big Brother UK, Big Brother Italy, and Big Brother Australia. While some viewers may be a bit puzzled by the producer’s choices, only two of the international Big Brother celebrities will be allowed to enter the house (although I would not be surprised if the first “Twisto’s Twist” allows the other two “celebrities” to enter.)

I will hold off on my predictions of the four international houseguests, and wait to see how the vote plays out before I included them in the rankings. As for the 14 new houseguests, below is a ranking of the likelihood of each of them winning Big Brother 4 based solely on a 90 second interview with producers, and their brief bio on the Golbal TV website.

14. Raul

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

Raul seems like he will be a loose cannon in the BB house. He admits that he is likely to bring the sass, which is NEVER a good thing in the BB house (unless you are Rachel Reilly, I suppose.) His drama is sure to cause some unnecessary fights in the house. His housemates (even the ones he may be aligned with) will begin to see that he is too much of a liability, and throw him under the bus way before the jury begins.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: PRE JURY

13. Cassandra

(photo credit: http://bigbrothercanada.globaltv.com/houseguests)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

First off, Cassandra is going to make for some amazing television. She is fun, outgoing, dramatic, and not afraid to be criticized for who she is. That being said, she wants to play the game as if she is not familiar with the show. In one interview she said “I’m going to be like, what is a veto ceremony?”
I see this backfiring on her, as her houseguests that are Superfans will think she is just there for the cameras, and not appreciate her lack of “BB knowledge.”

If she is not careful, Cassandra may find herself talking to Arisa on Thursday night, wishing she had not acted so naive about the game that her housemates have been waiting many years to play.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: PRE JURY. However, if she somehow makes the jury, she will likely be dragged to the end, and get slaughtered in the finals.

12. Maddy

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

Based solely on first impressions, Maddy seems to be the least likable of the three young, blonde girls. When asked why she thinks she was chosen to be on the show, her response was “duh…. because I am awesome.”

If Maddy is not careful, her confidence will come across as arrogance, and she will find herself in the middle of a lot of the female drama this season.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: First Evicted

11. Joel

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

In a house full of “bros,” Joel will find himself in the famous BB role of “odd man out.” Despite all of the guys seeming genuinely polite and accepting, Joel will find himself “bro-less.” In addition to this, the house is also full of young girls that will likely be annoyed by Joel’s nerdy persona, and his intelligence.
Joel’s only hope is to form a solid bond with Christine, and have her pull him into an alliance that she forms with some of the younger guys.
If Joel doesn’t have at least Christine looking out for him, he is toast real quick.
Also, many of these Canadian houseguests likely know of Ian Terry, and Steve Moses, both winners of Big Brother USA, and both just about as nerdy as Joel. There is very little chance of them letting Joel get anywhere near the end of the game and pull another BB win for the nerds.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: PRE JURY

10. Loveita

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

In one of the brief interviews I saw with Loveita, the very first word she used to describe herself was “vocal.” Sure, that is the word that you want to repeat over and over again during casting, but if she continues to play up the role of the “vocal independent woman” she will be in some hot water.

Loveita seems like a lovely woman, but, like Maddy, saying things like “I think I’m pretty,” as she did in her interview, will not do her any favors in the BB house. While it is exceptionally important to be confident (both in life and in the BB house,) houseguests will use any reason they can to nominate someone (especially in the first few weeks) and if other female houseguests think that you are arrogant, they will use that as the first excuse to target you.

Loveita’s vocalness will be entertaining to watch, but will ultimately get her evicted from the house.

PRE SHOW PREDICTION: Early Jury

9. Christine

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

Christine seems like the typical “older” BB female houseguests that we have been seeing since the beginning of BB. But, Christine may be just edgy enough, and entertaining enough, to make it farther than many of the other forty-something women in BB history.
My suggestion for Christine is to team up with the younger guys, and be their eyes and ears. The strong guys will do anything in their power to protect her, and she could cruise to the end of the game.
This will also prevent her from having to get too girly-girly with the younger ladies of the house, which I see her having an issue with.
I predict some blow out fights with Christine and a younger female houseguests, and it is very likely that the public watching from home will be supporting Christine. If she plays smart from the get-go, she could make it very far. But, if she segregates herself early on because of her age, she could very easily be the first to go.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: If she makes friends with the younger guys right away: Final 5. If she doesn’t, she will be gone week 1-2.

8. Kelsey

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

Kelsey is the complete package. She is super sexy, very likable, laid back, and easy going. She will remain drama free, which is a very good thing as a BB contestant. She will fly under the radar for quite a long time, until the houseguests realize that she is a massive threat to win the game because she is so damn perfect.
The only thing Kelsey has going against her is that she is not really a fan of the show. I do not think Kelsey is prepared to play this game anywhere close to hard enough. The pressure of the game will get to her, and she will not have it in her to deceive, backstab, or screw her friends over.
She will be voted out early jury, or maybe even pre jury, and she will not care any less. But, men all around the world will care. Very much.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: 10TH-12TH PLACE.

7. Philippe

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

Philippe will be the stud of the BB house. The guys will love him, the girls will love him, and the public will love him. He seems to be an all-round lovable guy. However, being just 21 years old, Philippe will be more focused on partying and hooking up, then winning the game.
Philippe’s number 1 priority will not be getting to the end of the game, and a showmance will likely put too big of a target on his back, and send him home.
The guys will begin to think he is getting too close with his lady friend, and the ladies that are not his lady friend, will be jealous, and want him gone immediately.

Philippe will win some challenges and make some big moves before his inevitable, emotional eviction, and seperation from his “sweetheart,” whoever that may be. My prediction: Paige.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: EARLY JURY (9th place)

6. Ramsey

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

Ramsey seems like a very nice, sincere, good-hearted guy. Not someone that has the ability to lie, and deceive. Unlike Kelsey, who will not care enough to lie and deceive, Ramsey will try, and be unable to lie and deceive.
Also, the fact that he doesn’t drink may prevent him from coming best buddies with the guys, and segregate him a bit.

Because he will be so likable, he should have no problem cruising to the jury portion of the game, but the houseguests will be unanimous in the fact that they need to get this awesome guy out of the house well before he has the opportunity to crush them in a final vote.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: 8TH PLACE

5. Mitchell

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

Mitchell seems to be the poor man’s Kevin Martin. He will be funny, but not as funny as Kevin. He will be charming, but not as charming as Kevin. He is handsome, but not as handsome as Kevin. And he will be great at analyzing the game, but not as great as Kevin.

…. and Kevin finished in 9th place.

Mitchell could prove me wrong though. He could be great at the game if he does not annoy his houseguests. Also, Kevin was evicted during a triple eviction. If he could have made it out of the triple eviction night, who knows what magic he could have worked to win the game. It could have been possible. And it is certainly possible that Mitchell can do it too.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: EARLY JURY if he gets too cocky. Or THE WINNER.
If he is in the finals against anyone other than Jared, he will win.

4. Paige

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

Paige is a perfect blend of the other 2 blonde females. She has the tenacity of Maddy, with the endearment of Kelsey. If she can use this to her advantage, she won’t be anyone’s main target for a while. Let Maddy be the bitchy blonde, and let Kelsey be the “under the radar” blonde.
If she can make it to the end with either of them, she will win the game.
Two things stand out for what I think could hurt Paige:

1. A showmance. I will be shocked if Paige does not end up in a showmance. Probably with Philippe.
2. Be a driving force behind an all-female alliance and get caught.

If she can avoid these two things, she has a very good chance at winning the season.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: LATE JURY

3. Sharry

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

Sharry has a big, bold, lovable personality, and if she can tone it down just a bit, will be able to get along great with the guys and the ladies of the house.

Sharry is going into the house with the intention of listening more than speaking, and that could be the thing that separates her from the other ladies in the house that want to get their voices heard.

I expect her to remain drama free, and sail through to the jury portion of the game. If she can step up her game during the final weeks, and make a few unexpected big game moves, she could easily win.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: 3RD PLACE

2. Jared

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

Jared will be loved by everyone. He will be the bro’s bro, and the ladies man. He is so down to Earth, polite and kind that people will forget they are playing a game with him. If he is in the finals, he will demolish anyone else that is against him.

The problem will be that he will be targeted late in the game for being such a great guy. Once he doesn’t win HoH or PoV in the final weeks, he will be target #1.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: 4TH PLACE
1. Dallas

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

(photo credit: etcanada.com)

After watching Dallas for a minute or so, I already want to get a beer with him. He will be funny, but not too funny that he annoys people. He will be a nice guy, but not too nice that you are terrified to go to the finals against him. He will be strategic, but not too strategic that he stands out as playing both sides of the house. And he will be good at the competitions, but not the absolute biggest physical, or mental threat.
He will be bros will all the guys, and will not have the added stress of falling in a showmance, as he already has a girlfriend back home. This game is Dallas’ to lose, and I do not think he is going to let that happen.

PRE SEASON PREDICTION: WINNER

Agree? Disagree? Leave a comment, or your predictions below!

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Ranking the Cast of Survivor Kaoh Rong: Brains Vs Brawn Vs Beauty 2 (Part 3)

Click here for part 1. (18-13)
Click here for part 2. (12-7)

The 6 Castaways Most Likely to Win Survivor: Kaoh Rong

6. Tai (Beauty Tribe)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

Tai is a 51 year old gay Asian gardener from San Francisco, and you will fall in love with him seconds after you hear him talk. He is gentle, kind, humorous, and as lovable as they come.
Much like Yau Man from Survivor: Fiji and Survivor: Micronesia, Tai will be adored by America, but also by all of his tribe mates. Despite being a very small man, he will excel in the tribal challenges. But, if these castaways are smart, they will give him the boot just before the finals, as he would certainly beat anyone in a final vote.
FINAL PLACEMENT PREDICTION: Mid-Late jury.

5. Jennifer (Brawn Tribe)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

Jennifer is bad ass. She has survived cancer, battled drug addiction, and has started her own construction technology company all by the age of 38. Jennifer, or Lanzetti, as she will eventually be called by Probst, will be seen as a massive threat once the tribes split as the beauty and brains girls will be (and should be) massively intimidated by her.
If she does not form solid bonds with the guys, she will have to tone down her strength and befriend the beauty girls. If she can do this, she has a decent shot at winning the game. But, if her pride prevents her from being girly-girly with the beauty girls, I expect her to be gone early merge.

FINAL PLACEMENT PREDICTION: She is BY FAR the coolest girl in the game, but will be taken out soon after the merge due to her physical and mental dominance. (Hopefully I am wrong and she makes the finals, as she would have a very good shot at winning a jury vote.)

 

4. Kyle (Brawn Tribe)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

Kyle could be the dark horse of Kaoh Rong. He is super intimidating based on his physical appearance, but if he builds relationships with his tribemates, he could emerge as a leader. If he can lead his tribe to victory and head into the merge with the numbers, I expect him to play a good enough game to get him to the finals.
On the other hand, I can also see him kind of giving up should his alliance be in the minority at any point. If he does not have the numbers going into the merge, he will pull a Russell Hantz and destroy camp, leaving the tribe with no other option but to vote him out.

FINAL PLACEMENT PREDICTION: Early jury. But, if he can take control of a post merge alliance, he has a decent shot at winning.

3. Joe (Brains Tribe)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

I am not sure if I placed Joe this high because I truly believe that he can win the game, or because I like him so much. Joe is the modern day Rudy, but in much better shape, and much more capable of fitting in with the younger crowd.

Joe, the former FBI Agent, is 72 years old, but I do not expect his age to be a factor in physical challenges. On top of that, he is so damn likable that I can not imagine a tribe voting him off unless they HAVE to. The only thing that concerns me about Joe is the harsh conditions the castaways are said to have endured this season. Hopefully Joe’s body can hold up in the brutal Cambodian environment.

While I want Joe to win, I believe, like Tai, that the castaways would be foolish to let him near a final 3 vote. I expect him to get very far, but voted out right before the final three battle it out for the jury’s vote.

FINAL PLACEMENT PREDICTION: Joe will be one of the final jury members. If, for some reason, they do not vote him out, he could easily win the jury’s vote. And will.

 

2. Michele (Beauty Tribe)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

Michele screams winner to me. The problem is…. someone else screams winner to me as well. I expect Michele and Anna to team up and dominate this game. Michele is gorgeous, intelligent, well-traveled, seemingly modest, and self aware. She will be the cool girl of the camp, and in control of the vote throughout the season.
She may, however, take the blame for a lot of the blindsides, and her ally, Anna, who will be a bit more under the radar, will come through unscathed. I liken them to if Jerri and Amber played a little better game in the Outback. Jerri (Michele) would have taken all the heat, and Amber (Anna) would have cruised to the end and won.

FINAL PLACEMENT PREDICTION: Michelle will make it to the end of the game, and come up JUST short of winning (I am predicting she will lose by just one vote.)

1. Anna (Beauty Tribe)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

(photo credit: cbs.com)

Like Michele, Anna has a lot going for her. She is beautiful, intelligent, and seems exceptionally kind-hearted. Being a poker player, she easily could have been on the Brains tribe as well.
I expect Anna to team up with the girls and vote out all the big guys once the merge happens. I also expect her to sit back just enough and let her allies be the “face” of the alliance, which would put the target (and blame) on all of them before herself. She should cruise to the end of the game, and be able to convince the jury why they should vote for her to be the next sole survivor.

FINAL PLACEMENT PREDICTION: Not only do I think Anna will win the game, but I think she will do so without receiving any votes against her all season.

 

Don’t miss the season premiere of Survivor Kaoh Rong: Brains Vs Brawn Vs Beauty 2 tonight on CBS to see if my predictions come true. Have predictions of your own. Leave them in the comments below.